Business
UBS chairman warns of sharp rise in capital requirements, newspaper reports
ZURICH, Sept 29 (Reuters) – UBS (UBSG.S) Chairman Colm Kelleher warned on Sunday that the Swiss government’s plans to raise capital requirements for big banks could damage the country’s status as a financial centre.
Earlier this year, the government presented plans to tighten capital requirements for UBS and the other three biggest Swiss banks to boost the health of the financial sector after Credit Suisse’s collapse last year.
Writing in Swiss newspaper Sonntagsblick, Kelleher said he agreed with most of the government’s 22 recommendations, except for the proposal to tighten capital requirements.
“The really big issue for me is the rise in capital requirements. The so-called ‘too big to fail’ report makes no sense to me,” he said. Details of the exact capital requirement have yet to be released, but Finance Minister Karin Keller-Sutter said in April that estimates that UBS will need an additional $15 billion to $25 billion are “plausible.”
Analysts at Autonomous Research said in a separate estimate that UBS may need to set aside another $10 billion to $15 billion.
Kelleher declined to comment on figures, but said excessive capital requirements would hurt competitiveness and lead to less favorable pricing of banking products for clients.
“We should be focusing on more important issues, such as liquidity management and, above all, the full resolvability of banks,” Kelleher told the paper.
Swiss banks manage around $2.6 trillion in international assets, contributing to their role as one of the world’s leading financial centers, according to a 2021 Deloitte study. But competition is intensifying, especially from Luxembourg and especially from Singapore, which has grown significantly in recent years.
Experts have warned that the collapse of UBS, whose total assets amount to twice Switzerland’s annual economic output, poses a major risk to the Swiss economy.
Kelleher downplayed the risks, saying that while UBS has “considerably more” capital than comparable banks, the bank’s business model based on asset management and the Swiss domestic market means it’s less risky.
Kelleher, who will take over as president from 2022, said UBS would remain loyal to Switzerland even if Bern demanded a major capital increase.
“We are a global bank, but at the core of UBS is its Swiss identity,” he said, adding that there was “no question” the bank would leave its home country. But he warned that a capital increase by banks would be harmful to Switzerland.
“If politics were to force a significant capital increase, it would mean that Switzerland has decided that it no longer wants to be a relevant international financial centre,” Kelleher said.
“I don’t think this is in the country’s interest.”
A former Morgan Stanley (MS.N) executive said he was open to discussing the government’s proposals with the government, Opens in a new tab.
Business
Thailand Commits to Becoming an AI Learning Hub
Ministers Announce Plans for AI Governance Collaboration
Thailand is dedicated to advancing global trust in artificial intelligence (AI) governance and establishing itself as a learning hub for AI through collaboration with UNESCO, according to Prasert Jantararuangthong, the Minister of Digital Economy and Society (DES). This initiative aims to enhance the ethical application of AI technologies while fostering skilled professionals in the field.
Goals for AI Workforce Development
The Ministry of Higher Education, Science, Research and Innovation (MHESI) has set ambitious goals to increase the number of AI-skilled workers by adding 30,000 engineers over the next three years. This plan includes generating 100 AI innovations valued at 40 billion baht and promoting AI adoption across 600 agencies nationwide.
Significant Increase in AI Adoption Rates
According to the AI Readiness Measurement 2024 report by the Electronic Transactions Development Agency and the National Science and Technology Development Agency, AI adoption plans among Thai organizations have reached 73.3%, reflecting an increase of nearly 20 percentage points year-on-year. This surge indicates a growing recognition of the importance of AI in various sectors.
Hosting the UNESCO Global Forum on AI Ethics
On Wednesday, the DES Ministry, MHESI, the Education Ministry, and UNESCO announced their partnership to host the 3rd UNESCO Global Forum on the Ethics of AI 2025, themed “Ethical Governance of AI in Motion.” This event is scheduled to take place from June 24 to 27, 2025, in Bangkok and will serve as a platform for knowledge exchange and collaboration on AI governance.
Commitment to Ethical AI Implementation
Prasert emphasized that Thailand’s commitment aligns with UNESCO’s AI Readiness Assessment framework, which is recognized globally. The country has recently introduced key frameworks such as the AI Governance Guideline for Executives and the Generative AI Governance Guideline for Organizations. These resources aim to ensure responsible and transparent implementation of AI at all organizational levels.
Multilateral Collaboration for Developing Countries
The upcoming forum is expected to foster multilateral collaboration and build AI governance capacity in developing countries. It highlights Thailand’s dedication to global trust in AI governance while positioning itself as a leader in ethical AI practices.
Integration of AI Technologies Across Industries
Suphachai Jaismut, vice-minister for MHESI, stated that Thailand is prepared to integrate AI technologies across various industries, driven by a commitment to advancing research and development (R&D). This integration is crucial as Southeast Asia’s digital economy continues to grow rapidly.
Addressing Challenges in the Digital Economy
While advancements in AI infrastructure are promising, challenges such as the digital divide and job displacement due to automation remain significant concerns. Xing Qu, deputy director-general for UNESCO, emphasized that building peace through education, science, and culture is vital in an era where AI increasingly influences societies and economies.
Business
Thailand to Finalise Free Trade Agreement with EFTA by January 2024
Thailand is preparing to finalise a landmark Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) by January 2024. The agreement marks Thailand’s first FTA with a European trade bloc and is expected to bolster exports, attract investments, and enhance Thailand’s position in the global economy.
EFTA Partnership: A Milestone in Thailand’s Trade Strategy
Who Are EFTA Members?
The EFTA comprises Switzerland, Norway, Iceland, and Liechtenstein, offering Thailand access to lucrative European markets.
Commerce Minister Pichai Naripthaphan highlighted the FTA’s importance, describing it as a pivotal step for economic growth and trade expansion.
“This is Thailand’s inaugural FTA with a European bloc, setting a precedent for modern trade standards and sustainable development goals,” said Pichai.
Comprehensive Scope of the Agreement
What Does the FTA Cover?
The FTA includes 15 broad areas designed to modernise trade relations and foster sustainable development. Key areas include:
- Trade in Goods
- Rules of Origin
- Investment Opportunities
- Trade Facilitation
- Intellectual Property Rights
- Sustainability and SMEs Development
Future Expansion Opportunities
The FTA is seen as a stepping stone toward future trade agreements with other significant partners, including the European Union, advancing Thailand’s global trade ambitions.
Economic Impact of the Thailand-EFTA Trade Partnership
Surging Trade Figures
Between January and October 2023, trade between Thailand and the EFTA exceeded US$10 billion, accounting for 2.03% of Thailand’s global trade and reflecting a 23.22% year-on-year growth.
Key Thai Exports and Imports
- Exports to EFTA: Jewellery, watches, canned seafood, machinery, cosmetics, and rice.
- Imports from EFTA: Gems, gold, pharmaceuticals, scientific equipment, and fresh seafood.
The agreement is expected to further diversify and increase Thailand’s trade portfolio.
Next Steps: Approval and Implementation
High-Level Signing at WEF Davos
The FTA will be presented to the Thai Cabinet for approval before its official signing at the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, in January 2024. Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra and Commerce Minister Pichai will attend the signing ceremony.
Ratification and Rollout
Following Parliamentary approval, the agreement will be ratified, paving the way for implementation and significant contributions to Thailand’s GDP growth.
A Strategic Vision for Thailand’s Future
The Thailand-EFTA Free Trade Agreement aligns with Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra’s vision of positioning Thailand as a global trade hub. By establishing this partnership, Thailand is set to achieve:
- Increased export opportunities
- Enhanced foreign investment
- Strengthened trade ties with Europe
As the January deadline approaches, Thailand’s first European trade agreement symbolizes a bold step toward economic transformation, underscoring its commitment to modernisation, sustainability, and global collaboration.
Business
Thai Airways Secures 44 Billion Baht to Propel Post-Rehabilitation Future
Thai Airways International (THAI) has secured approximately 44 billion baht through a share rights offering, marking a significant milestone in its recovery journey. The move is set to bring the national carrier closer to exiting its court-supervised debt restructuring process and resuming stock trading by mid-2025.
Thai Airways Share Rights Offering: A Major Step Forward
Raising Capital Through Share Sales
Thai Airways is offering 9.82 billion new shares to existing shareholders at 4.48 baht per share. This capital infusion represents the final phase of its restructuring, aimed at ensuring financial stability and market re-entry.
“This marks a critical step before the airline resumes operations as a publicly traded entity,” said a Cabinet source.
Government’s Role: Strategic Investment Without State Enterprise Status
Maintaining a National Flag Carrier
The Thai government has announced plans to increase its investment in Thai Airways while ensuring it does not revert to a state enterprise.
- Current Stake: The Finance Ministry holds 47.9% of THAI shares.
- Post-Restructuring: The ministry, the Vayupak Fund, and the Government Savings Bank will collectively own around 40% of the airline.
“This structure ensures Thai Airways remains a national flag carrier while avoiding direct state control,” confirmed Finance Minister Pichai Chunhavajira.
Debt Conversion and Shareholder Dynamics
Debt-to-Equity Swap Secures Creditor Support
Thai Airways’ creditors have agreed to convert approximately 53 billion baht of debt into equity as part of the rehabilitation plan. This move aligns with THAI’s efforts to stabilize its financial position.
- The Council of State approved the recapitalization as a legitimate component of the restructuring process.
- Despite debates over the Finance Ministry’s voting rights during the creditor meetings, officials clarified that the debt-to-equity swap remains incomplete, allowing the ministry to retain creditor status.
Path to Recovery
- THAI is expected to exit rehabilitation by February 2025.
- The airline plans to resume stock trading by May 2025, paving the way for a return to the public market.
Broader Implications for Thai Airways
Strengthened Financial Position
The successful share rights offering bolsters Thai Airways’ financial resilience, ensuring the airline’s ability to navigate post-rehabilitation challenges.
National Pride and Strategic Vision
The government’s balanced approach highlights its commitment to preserving Thai Airways’ status as a national carrier while encouraging operational independence.
Soaring Toward a Brighter Future
Thai Airways’ 44 billion baht share rights offering symbolizes its steady progress toward financial recovery and operational excellence. With strong government support and strategic restructuring, the airline is poised to regain its position as a leading player in the global aviation market by 2025. This pivotal moment underscores THAI’s resilience and its importance to Thailand’s economic and cultural identity.
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